Vladimir Shopov: The government tolerates and perpetuates crime
Понеделник, 26 Май 2008

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Vladimir Shopov: The government tolerates and perpetuates crime
According to political analyst Vladimir Shopov there will soon come a time when politicians will be able to win elections either by means of populism or buying votes. He also speaks of suspending Bulgaria’s EU membership.

Interview by Ana Kocheva

Q: We all thought that once we became EU members everything would be OK in the country, but that is far from the case. Is this a Bulgarian phenomenon or has it happened with other new members in the past?

A: These expectations were based on a false presumption: that EU institutions would influence and intervene in our affairs directly. In reality this can only occur when a convincing, socially imbedded critical mass of organizations, institutions, civic, and business sectors, parallels European influence.

Q: We find ourselves between a monitoring report and the decision whether to enforce the preventive clause, part of our pre-integration agreement. It seems that the criticism from the EC is an insufficient mechanism of discipline.

A: The decision shows that the EU has fallen into an institutionalized trap. The membership criteria are established in such a way that a country can comply with 5 of them and still have an ineffective judicial system. The existence of criteria presupposes that a series of more fundamental issues has been resolved. Laws have been adopted, yet ministers themselves behave in a way that is fundamentally unacceptable and anti-European. How should one go about formulating criteria to prevent this? The clause cannot change anything. The EU realizes this and the talks have taken a completely new direction, one that is unfavorable to Bulgaria. I raised the issue of suspending our membership for precisely this reason – if the absence of constructive dialogue and shameless displays of arrogance continue (to which deputy PM Plugchieva openly admitted), then the discrepancy between Bulgaria’s politicians and European institutions will be ascertained. Enforcing the clause is the only adequate response to this political arrogance.

Q: How many more political scandals can Bulgaria take? We seem to have lost face permanently…

A: Obviously we can take many, but some scare the government more than others. The suspended EU subsidies were scarier than the MI scandal, although the latter should have scared them more.

Q: If this had happened in any other country, there would have been consequences. Here there are none.

A: Yes. That is the real issue – how is a scandal defined in a political context. The scandals culminate in social apathy. Politicians must take into account that the waning interest of voters must be contained somehow. If it isn’t the election process will become a network of buying votes. I have the feeling that most parties have gotten used to the idea that their electorate has disintegrated. They have accepted that from here on the only way to win elections will be through periodic waves of populism or by buying votes – directly or through close business circles. 

Q: The general view is that no matter what political reforms are undertaken, the same people will stay in power – i.e. the game may change, but the players remain the same.

A: This is true to an extent, although there have been some changes in the past. The bigger problem is that there may be new people and parties, but the type of behavior is always the same. The new faces inevitably become part of the status quo. There should be mechanisms to prevent this – social, economic, and cultural. Predictably small groups, who want things done differently, will emerge. They will demand that laws be obeyed, that institutions act differently. Whether they will become a majority – only time will tell.

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